FPUS3 KTUL 172032   
AFDTUL  
  
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK  
335 PM CDT WED AUG 17 1994  
  
INTRSTG TO WTCH STG TSTMS S KS/N OK DVLP IN LF QUAD OF UPR JET STRK  
AND IN AREA OF LLVL WAA AS NOTED BY STG VEERG ON PRFLRS.  TRW SHUD   
BE MAINLY W OF FCST AREA...WITH JUST HI CLDS SPRDG ACRS FCST AREA   
FRM STORMS.  SINCE SHWRS CRNTLY XTND AS FAR E AS OSAGE CO...AND   
W/ MORE DVLPMNT INDCTD BY SATLT UPSTRM...WL INCLD 20 POPS FOR ZNS  
NW AND W OF TUL...DRY ELSWHR. EVE SHFT WL NEED TO MONITOR.          
       
MDLS HAVE JTSTRK WKN AS IT MOVS TWRD NE OK TNGT...THEN BRNG 2ND  
JTSTRK AND ASSOC S/W TROF ACRS NRN PLAINS.  CDFNT XPCTD TO MOVE S  
TO THE NE-KS BRDR BY FRI MRNG. FAIR WX AND SEASONABLY HOT TEMPS  
TMRW AS H8 WNDS BCM SWRLY AND ADVCT WRMR AIR ACRS OK. WL GO MSTLY  
SUNNY TMRW...FAIR TMRW NGT...W/ HI TMPS NR FWC AND LO TMPS A FEW  
DGRS BLO FWC.   
  
THE TRICK IN FCST IS IF/WHEN/WHERE TSTM DVLPMNT WL OCCUR THU NGT   
THRU FRI NGT. MDLS SHOW MOISTR ADVCTNG ACRS OK DURING NXT 36  
HRS...WITH DWPTS CLMBG TO 65 TO 70 TMRW.  CUD BE SOME SCTD TRW ACRS   
NW KS/E CO/NE THU NGT MOVG SE AND HOPEFULLY STAYG N AND W OF FCST  
AREA.  FOR FRI...TRW DVLPMNT PSBL ALNG FNT ACRS NRN KS INTO ERN  
NE...WITH STORMS MOVG ESE ACRS KS.  THOUGHT ABT SLGT CHC POPS FOR  
NRN ZNS FRI AFTN...BUT DECIDED TO HOLD OFF AND LET NGT SHIFT TAKE  
A LOOK AT 00Z MDL RUN AND MAKE DECISION. WL MNTN CHC TRW ESP NRN  
ZONES IN FRI NGT PORTION OF AFP.   
              
PW...20  
  
PRELIM NUMBERS...  
  
TUL 067/094  070/096                   MLC 066/096  070/097    
BVO 066/095  071/097                   IDB 068/094  071/095  
  
.TUL...NONE.