ACUS2 KMKC 171659  
SWODY2  
MKC DY2 171800  
  
2ND DAY SEVERE OUTLOOK...REF AFOS NMCGPH98O  
  
VALID 181200 - 191200Z ..GEN TSTM FCST NOT INCLUDED..  
  
THERE IS A RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM 15 E ACY DOV  
BWI 15 E HGR IPT 30 WNW PBG ...CONT...CAR AUG BOS ISP.  
  
THERE IS A RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RGT OF A LN FM AMA 1K5 P05  
25 S Y26 ABR 25 NW STC 55 SE DLH AUW 30 SE LNR 35 SE OTM MHK ICT  
END LTS CDS AMA.  
  
BY DAY 2 DPR MSTR SLOWLY RETURNS THRU THE PLAINS AHD OF A DVLPG  
FNTL SYSTEM OVR SD/MN WITH DWPTS EXPCD TO BE AOA 60 DEGREES AS FAR  
N AS MN. AT THE SAME TIME MID LVL FLOW REMAINS RATHER STG WITH A 40  
KT SPD MAX ENTERING WRN SD BY 00Z. STGR WLY FLOW WILL ALLOW SFC  
TROF TO DVLP FM SD SWD INTO THE TX PNHDL. TSTMS WILL FRM ALG DVLPG  
FNTL SYSTEM OVR CNTRL SD BY MID AFT AS LLVL WAA AND INCOMING SHRTWV  
TROF AID UVVS ACRS AREA. SUFFICIENT SPD AND DIR SHEAR WILL COMBINE  
WITH LIS AOB -4 AND CAPE VALUES OF 2000-3000 J/KG TO ALLOW TSTMS TO  
BECOME SVR. MID LVL FLOW INCREASES OVERNIGHT AS SYSTEM ADVECTS EWD  
SO EXPECT TSTMS TO MAINTAIN THEMSELVES WELL AFT DARK AS THEY  
PROPAGATE INTO WRN WI. FARTHER SOUTH...MID LVL TEMPS WILL BE RATHER  
WRM ACRS WRN KS AND TX PNHDL...BUT EXPECT CNVGNC ALG TROF TO BE  
SUFFICIENT FOR TSTM DVLPMT BY LATE AFTN.  
  
REMNANTS OF BERYL CONT TO MOVE NEWD THRU THE PERIOD WITH WRM FNT  
EXPCD TO LIE FM NH ACRS SRN ME BY 00Z. SFC BNDRY WILL EXTD FM A LOW  
OVR NERN NY SOUTH INTO VA. MDLS STILL PROG 45KT LLVL JET ACRS SRN  
NEW ENGLAND BUT ONE NEGATIVE FACTOR IS THE ABSENCE OF SGFNT MID LVL  
DRYING. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM WILL CONT TO WEAKEN ANY HEATING THAT  
DOES OCCUR WILL HELP DESTABILIZE THE AMS WITH A FEW STMS EXPCD TO  
PRODUCE SVR WX.  
  
..DARROW.. 08/17/94