The Winter Weather Events
of January 3-5, 2005

Answer to Question 12
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12. Examine a movie from 6:00 pm Tuesday through 2:00 am Wednesday, with BREF1 from Vance AFB (KVNX) and BREF1 from Norman (KTLX) (hint: toggle the radars in the legend to see individual features). Mesonet air temperatures and Mesonet wind observations are included.

  • What precip type is suggested by the radar echoes?
  • Where is the freezing line, in relation to the precip observed by the each radar?
  • Does the freezing line begin to move during this 8-hour movie?
  • What do you notice about the placement and motion of the heaviest precipitation elements? What threats do you think are present in northwest and west-central Oklahoma? What about on the warm side (south and east) of the freezing line?





Answer.

  • Both radars still show reflectivity patters associated with liquid precipitation.
  • The Vance radar shows the heaviest precipitation ocurring to the north and west of the freezing line for several hours.
  • Radar-estimated accumulations of up to three inches suggest the potential for significant icing, especially on elevated surfaces.
  • The Norman radar's estimate of 2+ inches southeast of the radar may raise flooding concerns
  • By the end of the movie, the freezing line is advancing southeastward.

The Bottom Line.

    A combination of radar, surface, upper-air and model data - and don't forget the advice and products from the National Weather Service - can help you sort out the complexities of winter precipitation.


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