The Winter Weather Events
of January 3-5, 2005

Answer to Question 5
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5. 6:00 am Tuesday morning. Radar indicates precipitation across much of Oklahoma and the Texas panhandle. Examine the WSR-88D base reflectivity (tilt 1) data from KTLX-Norman, KTLX-Vance AFB, and KAMA-Amarillo (you can toggle each off/on in the legend). Based on this reflectivity data:

  • What is the probable form of precipitation (liquid or frozen) as it falls from clouds?
  • How confident are you in this assessment?
  • Does this mean it will definitely reach the surface in this form?
  • What other data would be valuable in identifying precipitation type at the surface?



Answer.

  • The reflectivity patterns from each of the three radar locations have a "mottled", cellular texture characteristic of non-snow precipitation (Snow often has a "brushed" or smooth reflectivity appearance).
  • The agreement with the critical thickness and the sounding data helps raise confidence in this assessment.
  • However, just because precipitation is falling as a liquid does not mean it will remain a liquid upon or shortly before landing.
  • Surface temperatures, like those from the Oklahoma Mesonet, will provide critical detail on the ultimate precipitation type.

The Bottom Line:

  • Like critical thicknesses and soundings, radar data can be used to assess snow versus non-snow (rain,sleet) precipitation.
  • Like critical thicknesses and soundings, radar data can only provide guidance on what is falling, and cannot tell you about precipitation type on contact.


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